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  1. Home
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  3. Hopes, concerns and goals: our climate experts comment as UK's Prime Minister speaks and COP29 gets underway in Azerbaijan
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  2. News
  3. Hopes, concerns and goals: our climate experts comment as UK's Prime Minister speaks and COP29 gets underway in Azerbaijan
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Hopes, concerns and goals: our climate experts comment as UK's Prime Minister speaks and COP29 gets underway in Azerbaijan

Tue, 12 November 2024

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Our world leading academics on sustainability and the environment give their comments, hopes and concerns for the 'Conference of the Parties' climate summit.

A ‘bold vision’ and ‘very positive’ were comments from leading climate experts at Oxford Saïd for the speech by the UK's Prime Minister, Sir Keir Starmer, at the COP29 climate summit in Azerbaijan. But there was caution as well from our academics both in Baku and Oxford, with a focus on investment, climate finance and, as ever, the need for action.

From Baku today, Professor Juliane Reinecke, Oxford Saïd Professor of Management Studies, reacted to the Prime Minister's comments, pointing out: ‘COP29 is taking place at a very challenging moment following the US election and ongoing global conflicts….it is even more important to achieve outcomes such as advancing agreements on climate finance…to demonstrate that global cooperation is alive and effective.'

She added: ‘Individual leaders must step up to reaffirm their commitment to climate goals, and in this light it is very positive to see Keir Starmer is willing to do so. The question is a) whether this inspires other world leaders to follow and b) how this will be translated into actual actions and policy decisions at home.’

Dr Abrar Chaudhury, from Oxford Saïd and the School of Geography and Environment, said: ‘With uncertainty surrounding the US’s climate role beyond 2024, Keir Starmer has outlined a bold vision at COP 29: for the UK to lead the global clean energy transition toward a cleaner, more prosperous future, driven by investments in renewables, hydrogen, and carbon capture. The UK’s target is ambitious - an 81% reduction in emissions by 2035, generating thousands of jobs in the process.’

Dr Chaudhury continued: ‘Recognising that public finance is stretched, Sir Keir urged the private sector to embrace climate action as an economic opportunity rather than a threat, positioning the UK to become the world’s climate finance leader. He also pledged to launch a £75 billion fund to support climate action in developing countries - a significant commitment, especially given its historically limited funding under the Paris Agreement. However, the true test will be the UK’s actual contributions to the New Collective Quantified Goal (NCQG), as developing countries call for raising ambition from $100 billion to $1 trillion by 2025.'

While Sir Keir emphasised, he will not dictate how people live, he did not offer a concrete action plan to address the real impacts of the climate transition on the people. The hope is these efforts will ultimately position the UK as a climate leader.

Dr Abrar Chaudhury

Senior Research Fellow.

Also in Baku, Mary Johnstone-Louis, Senior Fellow of Management Practice at Oxford Saïd,  issued hopes for the success of the conference. She maintained, ‘In a time of global uncertainty, COP provides an opportunity for companies to clearly articulate what the private sector needs to innovate and scale solutions. In the race to create the industries of the future, those who participate at COP with the intent to lead for change can unlock resources needed for breakthrough technologies, sustainable growth and market leadership.’

Meanwhile, Associate Professor Anette Mikes, convenor of Oxford Ministry for the Future, an interdisciplinary network of academics aimed at inspiring sustainability, voiced concerns: ‘One hopes the world runs by laws, international treaties, standards, rules and norms. COP is the forum where humanity may think about risk at the species level, and recognise that, unless we change our global political economy, humans are heading towards extinction, too.'

She added: ‘One knows the world does not actually run by laws, international treaties, standards, rules and norms, unless these are adopted and enforced by nation states and courts.'

But she insisted...

As for the content and fate of COP agreements, the threats are threefold: (1) powerful vested interests, (2) a blind faith in techno-utopias, (3) an accelerating race aimed at the “survival of the richest”.

Anette Mikes

Associate Professor of Accounting.

Meanwhile, Associate Professor Amir Amel-Zadeh maintained his hopes for COP are: 'Firming up climate commitments and global investment into climate adaptation and mitigation.'

But he also had concerns: 'US election outcome, European governments with their own challenges. Plus, little public appetite for government spending on climate due to inflationary pressures.'

Before the conference, Dr Abrar Chaudhury said he hoped: ‘A new, ambitious, and equitable climate finance goal is reached to address the escalating needs of vulnerable nations. Industrialised countries significantly increase their contributions to the newly set-up Loss and Damage Fund, ensuring immediate support for those most affected by climate change.'

But he feared: ‘Industrialised nations are slow to commit to their fair share of climate funding. Meanwhile, emerging economies—many of which historically received financial support—step up to contribute, acknowledging their growing GDPs and increased emissions footprint.’

 

Oxford Saïd's commitment to sustainability.


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