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Publications 

  • This page lists publications by staff working in or associated with the BT Centre for Major Programme Management.

Only selected articles will be available to download.

Books

‪Bent Flyvbjerg, Todd Landman, and Sanford Schram, eds., Real Social
Science: Applied Phronesis
. Cambridge University Press, forthcoming.

Hugo Priemus, Bent Flyvbjerg, and Bert van Wee, eds., Decision-Making On Mega-Projects: Cost-benefit Analysis, Planning, and Innovation. Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar, 2008, 352 pp.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Nils Bruzelius, and Werner Rothengatter, Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition. Cambridge University Press, 2003, 7th printing 2006, 218 pp.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Making Social Science Matter: Why Social Inquiry Fails 
and How It Can Succeed Again
. Cambridge University Press, 2001.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Rationality and Power: Democracy in Practice. The 
University of Chicago Press, 1998. 

Journal articles

Alexander Budzier, "The risk of risk registers – managing risk is managing discourse not tools." Journal of Information Technology, 2011.

Bent Flyvbjerg and Alexander Budzier,"Why Your IT Project May Be Riskier than You Think." Harvard Business Review, September 2011, pp. 601-603; selected by HBR as leading article for the "Ideas Watch" section, featuring the hottest new ideas in business and management.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Transferable Knowledge: An Interview with Bent Flyvbjerg," interview by Inge Mette Kirkeby, Architectural Research Quarterly, vol. 15, no. 1, 2011, pp. 9-14.

Kasim Randeree and Awsam El FaramawyFaramawy, A., Islamic Perspectives on Conflict Management within Project Managed Environments. International Journal of Project Management, vol. 29, no. 2, 2011.

Suja Sivadasan, Janet Smart, Luisa Huaccho Huatuco and Ani Calinescu, "Operational complexity and supplier-customer integration: case study insights and complexity rebound." Journal of the Operational Research Society, vol 61, no. 12, December 2010, pp. 1709-1718.

Chantal C. Cantarelli, Bent Flyvbjerg, Bert van Wee, and Eric J. E. Molin, "Lock-in and Its Influence on the Project Performance of Large-Scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects: Investigating the Way in Which Lock-In Can Emerge and Affect Cost Overruns."  Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, vol. 37, 2010, pp. 792-807.

Bent Flyvbjerg and Bert van Wee, "Large Transport Infrastructure Projects: Improving Institutions and Decision Making." Editorial, European Journal of Transport Infrastructure Research, vol. 10, no. 1, March 2010, pp. 1-4.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Chantal C. Cantarelli, Eric J.E. Molin, and Bert van Wee, "Cost Overruns in Large-scale Transportation Infrastructure Projects: Explanations and Their Theoretical Embeddedness." European Journal of Transport Infrastructure Research, vol. 10, no. 1, March 2010, pp. 5-18.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Survival of the Unfittest: Why the Worst Infrastructure Gets Built—And What We Can Do about It." Oxford Review of Economic Policy, vol. 25, no. 3, 2009, pp. 344–367.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Massimo Garbuio, and Dan Lovallo, "Delusion and Deception in Large Infrastructure Projects: two Models for Explaining and Preventing Executive Disaster." California Management Review, vol. 51, no. 2, 2009, pp. 170-193.

Kasim Randeree, "Strategy, Policy and Practice in the Nationalisation of Human Capital: Project Emiratisation." Research and Practice in Human Resource Management, vol. 17, issue 1, 2009, pp. 71-91.

Kasim Randeree and Hind Al Youha, "Strategic Management of Performance: An Examination of Public Sector Organizations in the United Arab Emirates." The International Journal of Knowledge, Culture and Change Management, vol. 9, no. 4, 2009, pp. 123-134.

Kasim Randeree, "Managing Product Performance Through Design Engineering: Condition Monitoring in Automated Organisations."Design Principles and Practices: An International Journal, vol. 3, no.4, 2009, pp. 147-159.

Kasim Randeree and Mohammed Randeree, "Culture and Motivation: The Globalised Learning Paradigm from a Regional Perspective." Journal of the World Universities Forum, vol. 2, no. 2, 2009, pp. 49-56

Kasim Randeree and Arqam Iqbal, "Leading Change for Sustainable Development through Strategic Project Management: A Case Study on Change Management." The International Journal of Environmental, Cultural, Economic and Social Sustainability, vol. 5, no. 2, 2009, pp. 241-253.

Kasim Randeree, "Ethical Leadership: A Study of Integrity in Organizations in the Middle East." Journal of Business Systems, Governance and Ethics (JBSGE), vol. 3, no. 4, December 2008, pp. 57-67.

Dirk Pieter van Donk and Eamonn Molloy, "From Organising as Projects to Projects as organisations." International Journal of Project Management, vol. 26, no. 2, 2008, pp. 129-137.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Policy and Planning for Large-Infrastructure Projects: Problems, Causes, Cures." Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, vol. 34, 2007, pp. 578-597. Awarded the Association of European Schools of Planning (AESOP) Prize for Best Published Paper, July 2008.

Kasim Randeree, "Leading Change in Organisations: A Focus on Quality Management." International Journal of Knowledge, Culture and Change Management, vol. 8, no. 5, 2008, pp. 43-50.

Kasim Randeree and Eman Gaad, "Views on the 'Knowledge Economy Project' of the Arabian Gulf: A Gender Perspective from the UAE in Education and Management." The International Journal of Diversity in Organisations, Communities and Nations, vol. 8, no. 2, 2008, pp. 69-77.

Kasim Randeree, "Ethical Leadership from Islamic Perspectives: A Model for Social and Organisational Justice." The International Journal of the Humanities, vol. 6, no. 4, 2008, pp. 49-53.

Kasim Randeree, "Challenges in Human Resource Management and Organisational Development in the Arabian Gulf:  An Analysis of National Identity and Diversity." The International Journal of Interdisciplinary Social Sciences, vol. 2, no. 5, 2008, pp. 49-55.

Kasim Randeree and Imran Malik, "Models for Leading with Organizational Justice: Equitable Management of the Human Resource in Diverse Environments." The International Journal of Diversity in Organisations, Communities and Nations, vol. 7, no. 6, pp. 65-69, 2008.

Kasim Randeree, "Organisational Development and Globalisation: A Case Study on Minimising Cultural Obstacles to Patient Care." The Global Studies Journal, vol. 1, issue 1, pp. 109-114, 2008.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Curbing Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Planning: Reference Class Forecasting in Practice." European Planning Studies, vol. 16, no. 1, January 2008, pp. 3-21.

Bent Flyvbjerg and Hugo Priemus, "Planning and Design of Large Infrastructure Projects." Guest editorial. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, vol. 34, 2007, pp. 576-577.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Cost Overruns and Demand Shortfalls in Urban Rail and Other Infrastructure." Transportation Planning and Technology, vol. 30, no. 1, February 2007, pp. 9-30.

Petter Næss, Bent Flyvbjerg, and Søren Buhl, "Do Road Planners Produce More 'Honest Numbers' than Rail Planners? An Analysis of Accuracy in Road-traffic Forecasts in Cities versus Peripheral Regions." Transport Reviews, vol. 26, no. 5, September 2006, pp. 537-555.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "From Nobel Prize to Project Management: Getting Risks Right." Project Management Journal, vol. 37, no. 3, August 2006, pp. 5-15.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Five Misunderstandings About Case-Study Research." Qualitative Inquiry, vol. 12, no. 2, April 2006, pp. 219-245.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Skamris Holm, and Søren L. Buhl, "Inaccuracy in Traffic Forecasts." Transport Reviews, vol. 26, no. 1, January 2006, pp. 1–24.

Paolo Quattrone and Trevor Hopper, "What is IT? SAP, accounting, and visibility in a multinational organisation." Information and Organization, vol. 16, 2006, pp. 212–250.

Paolo Quattrone, "The Possibility of the Testimony: A Case for Case Study Research."  Organization Connexions, vol. 13, no. 1, 2006, pp. 143–157.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Credibility Problem for Transit: Response to Millar." Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 71, no. 4, Autumn 2005, pp. 452.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Measuring Inaccuracy in Travel Demand Forecasting: Methodological Considerations Regarding Ramp Up and Sampling." Transportation Research A, vol. 39, no. 6, July 2005, pp. 522-530.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette Skamris Holm, and Søren L. Buhl, "How (In)accurate Are Demand Forecasts in Public Works Projects? The Case of Transportation." Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 71, no. 2, Spring 2005, pp. 131-146.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Design by Deception: The Politics of Megaproject Approval." Harvard Design Magazine, no. 22, Spring/Summer 2005, pp. 50-59.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Machiavellian Megaprojects." Antipode, vol. 37, no. 1, January 2005, pp. 18-22.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Megaprojects and Risk: An Anatomy of Ambition." The Sociologist, vol. 1, no. 1, Summer 2004, pp. 50-55.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette K. Skamris Holm, and Søren L. Buhl, "What Causes Cost Overrun in Transport Infrastructure Projects?" Transport Reviews, vol. 24, no. 1, January 2004, pp. 3-18.

Bent Flyvbjerg and Renia Ehrenfeucht, "Megaprojects and Risk: A Conversation With Bent Flyvbjerg." Interview conducted by Renia Ehrenfeucht. Critical Planning , vol. 11, 2004, pp. 51-63.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Delusions of Success: Comment on Dan Lovallo and Daniel Kahneman." Harvard Business Review, December 2003, pp. 121-122.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette K. Skamris Holm, and Søren Buhl, "Response to Roger Remington." Journal of the American Planning Association, vol. 69, no. 1, Winter 2003, pp. 83.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette K. Skamris Holm, and Søren L. Buhl, "How Common and How Large Are Cost Overruns in Transport Infrastructure Projects?" Transport Reviews, vol. 23, no. 1, January-March 2003, pp. 71-88.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Mette K. Skamris Holm, and Søren L. Buhl, "Underestimating Costs in Public Works Projects: Error or Lie?" Journal of the American Planning Association , vol. 68, no. 3, Summer 2002, pp. 279-295.

Nils Bruzelius, Bent Flyvbjerg, and Werner Rothengatter, "Big Decisions, Big Risks: Improving Accountability in Mega Projects." Transport Policy, vol. 9, no. 2, April 2002, pp. 143-154. 

Book chapters

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Habermas and Foucault: Thinkers for Civil Society?”, in Stewart R. Clegg and Mark Haugaard, eds., Power and Organizations. London: Sage, forthcoming‪.

Bent Flyvbjerg and Eamonn Molloy, "Delusion, Deception and Corruption in Major Infrastructure Projects: Causes, Consequences, Cures." In Susan Rose-Ackerman and Tina Soreide, eds., International Handbook on the Economics of Corruption. Cheltenham, UK and Northampton MA, USA: Edward Elgar, 2011, pp. 81-107.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Policy and Planning for Large Infrastructure Projects: Problems, Causes, and Curses." In Thomas L. Harper, Michael Hibbard, Heloisa Costa, Anthony Gar-On Yeh, eds., Dialogues in Urban and Regional Planning, Volume 4, New York: Routledge, 2011, pp. 223-248.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Making Social Science Matter," Chapter 1 in Georgios Papanagnou, ed., Social Science and Policy Challenges: Democracy, Values and Capacities. Paris: UNESCO Publishing, 2011, pp. 25-56. 

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Case Study," In Norman K. Denzin and Yvonna S. Lincoln, eds., The Sage Handbook of Qualitative Research, 4th Edition. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, 2011, pp. 301-316.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Over Budget, Over Time, Over and Over Again: Managing Major Projects." In Peter W. G. Morris, Jeffrey K. Pinto, and Jonas Söderlund, eds., The Oxford Handbook of Project Management. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2011, pp. 321-344.

Kasim Randeree, “Leading Change in Organizations: A Focus on Quality Management.” In Westover, J. H., ed., Globalization, Labor and the Transformation of Work: Readings for Seeking a Competitive Advantage in an Increasingly Global Economy. The University Press, 2010, pp. 363-376.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Optimism and Misrepresentation in Early Project Development."  In Terry Williams, Knut Samset, and Kjell Sunnevag, eds., Making Essential Choices with Scant Information: Front-end Decision making in Major Projects.  New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009, pp. 147-168.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Public Planning of Mega-projects: Overestimation of Demand and Underestimation of Costs." In Hugo Priemus, Bent Flyvbjerg, and Bert van Wee, eds., Decision-Making On Mega-Projects: Cost-benefit Analysis, Planning, and Innovation. Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA: Edward Elgar, 2008, pp. 120-144.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "How Optimism Bias and Strategic Misrepresentation in Early Project Development Undermine Implementation." In Kjell J. Sunnevåg, ed., Beslutninger på svakt informasjonsgrunnlag: Tilnærminger og utfordringer i projekters tidlige fase (Decisions based on weak information: Approaches and challenges in the early phase of projects) Trondheim, Norway: Concept Program, The Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 2007, pp. 41-55.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Eliminating Bias in Early Project Development through Reference Class Forecasting and Good Governance." In Kjell J. Sunnevåg, ed., Beslutninger på svakt informasjonsgrunnlag: Tilnærminger og utfordringer i projekters tidlige fase (Decisions based on weak information: Approaches and challenges in the early phase of projects) Trondheim, Norway: Concept Program, The Norwegian University of Science and Technology, 2007, pp. 90-110.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Nils Bruzelius, and Werner Rothengatter, "Megaprojects and Risk." In William L. Richter and Frances Burke, eds., Combating Corruption, Encouraging Ethics: A Practical Guide to Management Ethics. Second Edition. Published in cooperation with The American Society for Public Administration. Lanham, MA and Plymouth, UK: Rowman and Littlefield, 2007, pp. 52-58.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Design by Deception: The Politics of Megaproject Approval." In William S. Saunders, ed., Urban Planning Today. Minneapolis and London: University of Minnesota Press, 2006, pp. 131-148.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Making Organization Research Matter: Power, Values, and Phronesis." In Stewart R. Clegg, Cynthia Hardy, Thomas B. Lawrence, and Walter R. Nord, eds., The Sage Handbook of Organization Studies. Second Edition. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage, July 2006, pp. 370-387.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Foreword." In Kimberly Kempf-Leonard, ed., Encyclopedia of Social Measurement. Vols. 1-3. Amsterdam: Elsevier Academic Press, 2005, pp. xxxix.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Verbatim Report of a Hearing Held by the Temporary Committee on Infrastructure Projects on 16 September 2004 in the Hearing Room at the Logement in The Hague." In Tijdelijke Commissie Infrastructuurprojecten, Onderzoek naar infrastructuurprojecten: Openbare gesprekken. Report 29 283, no. 11. The Hague: Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal, 2004-2005, pp. 693-700. Expert witness statement. Also published in Tijdelijke Commissie Infrastructuurprojecten, Grote Projecten: Inzichten en uitgangspunten. Achtergrondstudies. Report 29 283, no. 10. The Hague: Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal, 2004-2005, pp. 249-260.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Getting the Cost Right and Dealing with Optimism Bias." In Major Projects Association, Strategic Planning of Major Projects. Oxford: Templeton College, 2004, pp. 24-33.

Working papers

Alexander Budzier and Bent Flyvbjerg, "Double Whammy: How ICT Projects are Fooled by Randomness and Screwed by Political Intent." Saïd Business School, University of Oxford, August 2011, 33 pp.

Kasim Randeree, "An Exploration of Reputation Within Major Programme Management." Oxford University Centre for Corporate Reputation, 2010, Vol. 10, Series No. 202.

Sir Peter Gershon, "Review of the Australian Government's Use of Information and Communication Technology", August 2008.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Truth and Lies About Megaprojects." Faculty of Technology, Policy, and Management, Delft University of Technology, September 2007.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Policy and Planning for Large Infrastructure Projects: Problems, Causes, Cures." Policy Research Working Paper, WPS 3781, World Bank, Washington, DC, 2005, 32 pp.

Bent Flyvbjerg, Carsten Glenting, and Arne Kvist Rønnest, "Procedures for Dealing with Optimism Bias in Transport Planning: Guidance Document." London: UK Department for Transport, 2004, 61 pp.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Misrepresentation Drives Projects." Engineering News-Record, January 5, 2004, pp. 87.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "The Lying Game." EuroBusiness, vol. 5, no. 1, June 2003, pp. 60-62.

Bent Flyvbjerg, "Machiavellian Tunnelling." World Tunnelling , March 2003, pp. 43.